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Global Sea Ice Extent

September 17th Data:

Arctic Sea Ice: 1.2 Million km

Antarctic Sea Ice: 1.5 million km

Net Global Sea Ice Deviation: 0.3 million km

Ebola Virus In Dallas

Hopefully this is nothing, but a case of Ebola was diagnosed in Dallas.  I think we have a tendency to jump the gun on pandemic viruses, but this is one to keep an eye on.

“A man who took a commercial flight from Liberia that landed in Dallas on Sept. 20 has been found to have the Ebola virus, the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention reported on Tuesday. He is the first traveler to have brought the virus to the United States on a passenger plane and the first in whom Ebola has been diagnosed outside of Africa.”

“The man, who was visiting relatives in the United States, was not ill during the flight, health officials said at a news conference Tuesday evening. Indeed, he was screened before he boarded the flight and had no fever. Because Ebola is not contagious until symptoms develop, there is “zero chance” that the patient infected anyone else on the flight, said Dr. Thomas R. Frieden, director of the disease centers. Ebola is spread only by direct contact with body fluids from someone who is ill.”

http://www.nytimes.com/2014/10/01/health/airline-passenger-with-ebola-is-under-treatment-in-dallas.html

Let’s hope they’re right about that.

For what it’s worth, Henry Niman of Recombinomics is calculating the true mortality rate at 84% in Liberia, partially due to lack of doctors and hospital space, I’d imagine. http://www.recombinomics.com/News/09231401/Ebola_Liberia_CFR_84.html.  It appears to be around 70% overall (for the patients with a clinical diagnosis), despite WHO still reporting it as 50-60% by some authorities. http://www.npr.org/2014/08/23/342652020/doctor-ebola-fatality-rate-running-at-70-percent.

I know a lot of people were desensitized by the 2009 Influenza pandemic, but this is a little different, in-so-far as this virus doesn’t need additional mutations to be quite deadly.

 



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