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Global Sea Ice Extent

September 17th Data:

Arctic Sea Ice: 1.2 Million km

Antarctic Sea Ice: 1.5 million km

Net Global Sea Ice Deviation: 0.3 million km

Mexico flu deaths raise fears of global epidemic

OK people, this is something I have watched closely for over 5 years now. The avian flu is the one that everyone has been concerned about, but this one has all the parts needed to become a worldwide pandemic disaster.. and it's here.. now.

The three criteria for an influenza pandemic to happen:

1. A new virus to which everybody is susceptible.

Quote:CDC officials described the virus as having a unique combination of gene segments not seen in people or pigs before. The bug contains human virus, avian virus from North America and pig viruses from North America, Europe and Asia.



2. The ability to readily spread from person to person.

This hasn't been "confirmed" yet, but 900 people have caught it with 8 of those being in completely different regions (San Diego and San Antonio.) This isn't looking good for the "not human transmissible" part that everyone hopes for.



3. The capability of causing significant disease in humans.

Of the 900 who have been afflicted with this, 60 have died.

To stress the "significance" of this, the mortality rate of the 1918 spanish flu pandemic was 3%. Now, 60 out of 900 is almost 7%. So far, the mortality rate is estimated to be twice that of the 1918 influenza pandemic... and that one killed 40 million people when the population was about 1/4 what is is now.

Sources:

http://www.msnbc.msn.com/id/30386163/
http://www.nytimes.com/2009/...cas/25mexico.html?ref=health
http://www.cnn.com/2009/HEALTH/04/24/swine.flu/index.html


I REALLY REALLY hope this fizzles out like SARS did, but something like this would be about impossible to contain in a place like mexico.

Keep your fingers crossed and get prepared. This might be the true "summer of hell" glaring upon us.

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