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Global Sea Ice Extent

September 17th Data:

Arctic Sea Ice: 1.2 Million km

Antarctic Sea Ice: 1.5 million km

Net Global Sea Ice Deviation: 0.3 million km

Dennis Statements from NOAA

Official Advisory/Bulletin:
000
WTUS82 KEYW 080010
HLSEYW
FLZ076>078-GMZ031>033-052>054-072>075-080330-

HURRICANE DENNIS LOCAL STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE KEY WEST FL
800 PM EDT THU JUL 7 2005


...HURRICANE WARNING IN EFFECT FOR THE LOWER KEYS...

...LOCAL STATE OF EMERGENCY IN EFFECT FOR ALL MONROE COUNTY...

...MANDATORY EVACUATION FOR RESIDENTS OF THE LOWER KEYS...

...MANDATORY EVACUATION OF VISITORS...NON RESIDENTS AND MOBILE HOME RESIDENTS FOR ALL THE FLORIDA KEYS...

...A HURRICANE WATCH AND TROPICAL STORM WARNING ARE IN EFFECT FOR THE MIDDLE AND UPPER KEYS INCLUDING FLORIDA BAY...

...SMALL CRAFT REMAIN IN PORT...

...NEW INFORMATION SINCE LAST ISSUANCE...
UPDATED PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS. UPDATED STORM INFORMATION.

...AREAS AFFECTED...
THIS STATEMENT IS SPECIFIC TO THE FLORIDA KEYS OF MONROE COUNTY... INCLUDING THE DRY TORTUGAS.

...WATCHES AND WARNINGS...
A HURRICANE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR THE LOWER KEYS WEST OF THE SEVEN MILE BRIDGE. A HURRICANE WATCH AND TROPICAL STORM WARNING ARE IN EFFECT FOR THE MIDDLE AND UPPER KEYS... INCLUDING FLORIDA BAY. A HURRICANE WARNING MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS... WINDS OF 74 MPH OR GREATER...ARE EXPECTED WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS.

...STORM INFORMATION...
AT 800 PM EDT... THE CENTER OF HURRICANE DENNIS WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 19.4 NORTH... LONGITUDE 77.1 WEST. THIS IS ABOUT 470 MILES SOUTHEAST OF KEY WEST... AND 450 MILES SOUTHEAST OF MARATHON. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE INCREASED TO NEAR 130 MPH... WITH HIGHER GUSTS. DENNIS IS NOW A CATEGORY THREE INTENSITY ON THE SAFFIR-SIMPSON SCALE. SOME ADDITIONAL STRENGTHENING IS FORECAST AS THE CENTER REACHES CENTRAL CUBA FRIDAY... AND DENNIS COULD BECOME A CATEGORY FOUR HURRICANE BEFORE REACHING CUBA. DENNIS IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTHWEST NEAR 15 MPH... AND THIS GENERAL MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE FOR THE NEXT 24 HOURS. THIS WILL BRING THE CENTER VERY NEAR CABO CRUZ CUBA TONIGHT... AND VERY NEAR THE SOUTHERN COAST OF CENTRAL CUBA ON FRIDAY. THE MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE WAS MEASURED AT 951 MB... OR 28.08 INCHES OF MERCURY.

...PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
MONROE COUNTY HAS ORDERED A MANDATORY EVACUATION FOR ALL RESIDENTS OF THE LOWER KEYS WEST OF THE SEVEN MILE BRIDGE. ADDITIONALLY... MONROE COUNTY HAS ORDERED A VISITOR AND NONRESIDENT EVACUATION FOR THE ENTIRE FLORIDA KEYS. THE EVACUATION ORDER INCLUDES ALL TRAVEL TRAILERS AND RECREATIONAL VEHICLES. RESIDENTS LIVING ON BOATS NEED TO SECURE THEIR VESSELS AND EVACUATE AS WELL. COUNTY AND STATE PARKS ARE CLOSED. VISITORS WITH IMMEDIATE PLANS TO VISIT THE KEYS MUST POSTPONE THEM UNTIL THE RISK OF THE STORM PASSES. THE MONROE EMERGENCY OPERATIONS CENTER IS CURRENTLY FULLY ACTIVATED AND A LOCAL STATE OF EMERGENCY IS IN EFFECT FOR ALL OF MONROE COUNTY. THE TOLLS ON CARD SOUND ROAD HAVE BEEN LIFTED. THE DRAW BRIDGES AT SNAKE CREEK IN ISLAMORADA AND JEWFISH CREEK IN KEY LARGO ARE TO BE LOCKED DOWN AT 10 PM THURSDAY NIGHT SO THAT VEHICULAR TRAFFIC FLOW WILL NOT BE INTERRUPTED BY BOATS. MONROE COUNTY OFFICES AND SCHOOLS WILL BE CLOSED ON FRIDAY. LOWER KEYS MEDICAL CENTER IS SCHEDULED TO CLOSE FRIDAY. AIRLINES THAT SERVICE KEY WEST AIRPORT ARE REPORTING THAT MOST FLIGHTS OUT OF KEY WEST ARE SOLD OUT. RENTAL CAR AGENCIES REPORT NO VEHICLES AVAILABLE. GREYHOUND BUSLINES IN KEY WEST WILL HAVE A BUS LEAVING TO MIAMI AT 1100 PM THIS EVENING...AND AT 845 AM AND 1130 AM ON FRIDAY... WITH ADDITIONAL BUSES ADDED AT THESE TIMES. CONTACT GREYHOUND AT 800-410-5397 FOR MORE INFORMATION. ALL RESIDENTS SHOULD CONTINUE TO MONITOR FUTURE MEDIA REPORTS AND EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT BULLETINS FOR FURTHER PROTECTIVE ACTIONS AND OTHER INFORMATION.

...STORM SURGE FLOOD AND STORM TIDE IMPACTS...
STORM SURGE THROUGH THE FLORIDA KEYS IS EXPECTED TO RANGE FROM 3 TO 6 FEET... WITH THE HIGHEST SURGE OCCURRING IN THE LOWER KEYS.

...WIND IMPACTS...
HURRICANE FORCE WINDS ARE EXPECTED IN THE LOWER KEYS BY FRIDAY EVENING. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WILL AFFECT ALL OF THE KEYS BEGINNING FRIDAY AFTERNOON. CONDITIONS WILL WORSEN FRIDAY NIGHT INTO SATURDAY MORNING.

...MARINE IMPACTS...
WINDS AND SEAS WILL GRADUALLY INCREASE THIS EVENING... AS HURRICANE DENNIS APPROACHES. THEREFORE... SMALL CRAFT SHOULD REMAIN IN PORT UNTIL THE EFFECTS OF HURRICANE DENNIS HAVE PASSED. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO REACH THE FLORIDA STRAITS EARLY FRIDAY AFTERNOON... AND HURRICANE FORCE WINDS ARE EXPECTED FRIDAY NIGHT IN THE LOWER KEYS. FURTHERMORE... SHOWER ACTIVITY WILL INCREASE TONIGHT WITH INCREASING SQUALLS EXPECTED FRIDAY AFTERNOON.

...RAINFALL IMPACTS...
THE FLORIDA KEYS CAN EXPECT TO RECEIVE 4 TO 6 INCHES OF RAINFALL IN ASSOCIATION WITH HURRICANE DENNIS.

...NEXT UPDATE...
THE NEXT UPDATE ON HURRICANE DENNIS FROM THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN KEY WEST WILL BE AROUND 1130 PM EDT THURSDAY NIGHT... OR WHEN NEW INFORMATION IS AVAILABLE. FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION...PLEASE CHECK OUR WEB SITE AT WWW.WEATHER.GOV/KEYWEST.

$$

FELTGEN/DEVANAS
Alert, Advisory, Warning, etc from a government agency.



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31 comments to Dennis Statements from NOAA

  • Official Advisory/Bulletin:

    000
    WTNT34 KNHC 101654
    TCPAT4
    BULLETIN
    HURRICANE DENNIS INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER 25A
    NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
    NOON CDT SUN JUL 10 2005

    …DANGEROUS HURRICANE DENNIS WITHIN A FEW HOURS OF LANDFALL…

    A HURRICANE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT ALONG THE NORTHEASTERN COAST OF THE GULF OF MEXICO FROM THE OCHLOCKONEE RIVER WESTWARD TO THE MOUTH OF THE PEARL RIVER.

    A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM WEST OF THE PEARL RIVER TO GRAND ISLE… INCLUDING METROPOLITAN NEW ORLEANS AND LAKE PONTCHARTRAIN… AND FROM EAST OF THE OCHLOCKONEE RIVER TO LONGBOAT KEY FLORIDA.

    PREPARATIONS TO PROTECT LIFE AND PROPERTY SHOULD ALREADY HAVE BEEN COMPLETED.

    FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA… INCLUDING POSSIBLE INLAND WATCHES AND WARNINGS…PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE. AT NOON CDT… 1700Z… THE CENTER OF HURRICANE DENNIS WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 29.6 NORTH…LONGITUDE 86.9 WEST OR ABOUT 55 MILES SOUTH-SOUTHEAST OF PENSACOLA FLORIDA.

    DENNIS IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHWEST NEAR 18 MPH AND THIS MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE FOR THE NEXT 24 HOURS. ON THE FORECAST TRACK… DENNIS IS EXPECTED TO MAKE LANDFALL NEAR PENSACOLA BY MID-AFTERNOON.

    DENNIS CONTINUES TO SLOWLY WEAKEN…AND MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NOW NEAR 135 MPH… WITH HIGHER GUSTS. NO SIGNIFICANT CHANGE IN STRENGTH IS EXPECTED IN THE REMAINING HOURS BEFORE LANDFALL… AND DENNIS IS EXPECTED TO REACH THE COAST NEAR THE CATEGORY THREE/FOUR THRESHOLD ON THE SAFFIR-SIMPSON SCALE.

    HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 40 MILES FROM THE CENTER… AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 230 MILES. HURRICANE FORCE WINDS ASSOCIATED WITH DENNIS MAY OCCUR AS FAR AS 150 TO 175 MILES INLAND ALONG THE TRACK OF THE HURRICANE.

    THE MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE REPORTED BY RECONNAISSANCE AIRCRAFT WAS 939 MB…27.73 INCHES.

    STORM SURGE FLOODING OF 10 TO 15 FEET ABOVE NORMAL TIDE LEVELS… ACCOMPANIED BY LARGE AND DANGEROUS BATTERING WAVES…IS POSSIBLE NEAR AND JUST TO THE EAST OF WHERE THE CENTER OF DENNIS CROSSES THE NORTHERN GULF COAST LATER TODAY. A STORM SURGE OF 4 TO 6 FEET IS LIKELY ELSEWHERE IN THE HURRICANE WARNING AREA TO THE EAST OF THE CENTER.

    DENNIS IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE TOTAL RAINFALL ACCUMULATIONS OF 5 TO 10 INCHES OVER THE FLORIDA PANHANDLE… ALABAMA… EASTERN MISSISSIPPI… AND SOUTHWESTERN GEORGIA. ISOLATED MAXIMUM RAINFALL AMOUNTS TO NEAR 15 INCHES ARE POSSIBLE NEAR WHERE DENNIS MAKES LANDFALL.

    ISOLATED TORNADOES ARE POSSIBLE TODAY OVER THE WEST-CENTRAL FLORIDA PENINSULA…THE FLORIDA PANHANDLE…WESTERN GEORGIA AND CENTRAL AND SOUTHERN ALABAMA.

    REPEATING THE NOON CDT POSITION…29.6 N… 86.9 W. MOVEMENT TOWARD…NORTH-NORTHWEST NEAR 18 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS…135 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE… 939 MB.

    AN INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT 2 PM CDT FOLLOWED BY THE NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY AT 4 PM CDT.

    FORECASTER FRANKLIN

    $$

  • Official Advisory/Bulletin:

    000
    WTNT34 KNHC 102257
    TCPAT4
    BULLETIN
    HURRICANE DENNIS INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER 26A
    NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
    6 PM CDT SUN JUL 10 2005

    …DENNIS WEAKENING OVER SOUTHWESTERN ALABAMA…

    …STILL A DANGEROUS HURRICANE PRODUCING DAMAGING WINDS… HEAVY RAINFALL… AND POSSIBLY TORNADOES…

    AT 6 PM CDT…2300Z… THE COASTAL HURRICANE WARNING AREA HAS BEEN REPLACED BY A TROPICAL STORM WARNING FROM THE ALABAMA/MISSISSIPPI BORDER EASTWARD TO DESTIN. HOWEVER… INLAND HURRICANE WARNINGS ARE STILL IN EFFECT FOR PORTIONS OF SOUTHWESTERN ALABAMA AND SOUTHEASTERN AND EAST-CENTRAL MISSISSIPPI.

    A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS NOW EFFECT FROM THE PEARL RIVER EASTWARD TO LONGBOAT KEY FLORIDA. PORTIONS OF THE WARNING AREA ALONG THE FLORIDA WEST COAST WILL LIKELY BE DISCONTINUED LATER TONIGHT.

    FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA… INCLUDING POSSIBLE INLAND WATCHES AND WARNINGS… PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.

    AT 6 PM CDT… 2300Z… THE CENTER OF HURRICANE DENNIS WAS LOCATED INLAND NEAR LATITUDE 31.3 NORTH… LONGITUDE 87.5 WEST OR ABOUT 25 MILES SOUTHWEST OF MONROEVILLE ALABAMA IN EXTREME SOUTHWESTERN MONROE COUNTY ALABAMA.

    DENNIS IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHWEST NEAR 21 MPH. THIS GENERAL MOTION WITH SOME DECREASE IN FORWARD SPEED IS EXPECTED OVER THE NEXT 24 HOURS.

    MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 80 MPH… WITH HIGHER GUSTS. ALTHOUGH DENNIS HAS WEAKENED TO A CATEGORY ONE HURRICANE ON THE SAFFIR-SIMPSON SCALE… IT IS STILL A DANGEROUS HURRICANE. DENNIS IS EXPECTED TO WEAKEN TO A TROPICAL STORM LATER TONIGHT.

    HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 25 MILES FROM THE CENTER… AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 230 MILES… MAINLY TO THE SOUTHEAST OF THE CENTER.

    THE MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE RECENTLY REPORTED BY A NOAA RECONNAISSANCE AIRCRAFT WAS 961 MB… 28.38 INCHES.

    STORM SURGE FLOODING OF 8 TO 12 FEET ABOVE NORMAL TIDE LEVELS… ACCOMPANIED BY LARGE AND DANGEROUS BATTERING WAVES… IS STILL POSSIBLE ALONG THE FLORIDA PANHANDLE AND ALABAMA COASTS. STORM SURGE VALUES WILL GRADUALLY DECREASE LATER TONIGHT.

    DENNIS IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE TOTAL RAINFALL ACCUMULATIONS OF 4 TO 8 INCHES ALONG AND NEAR THE TRACK ACROSS THE SOUTHEASTERN STATES INTO THE LOWER OHIO VALLEY OVER THE NEXT FEW DAYS. ISOLATED MAXIMUM RAINFALL AMOUNTS NEAR 12 INCHES ARE POSSIBLE IN ASSOCIATION WITH DENNIS.

    ISOLATED TORNADOES ARE POSSIBLE TODAY OVER CENTRAL AND SOUTHERN ALABAMA… CENTRAL AND SOUTHERN GEORGIA… AND NORTH CENTRAL AND NORTHWESTERN FLORIDA.

    REPEATING THE 6 PM CDT POSITION… 31.3 N… 87.5 W. MOVEMENT TOWARD… NORTH-NORTHWEST NEAR 21 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS… 80 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE… 961 MB.

    AN INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT 8 PM CDT FOLLOWED BY THE NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY AT 10 PM CDT.

    FORECASTER STEWART

    $$

  • Official Advisory/Bulletin:

    000
    WTNT44 KNHC 102059
    TCDAT4
    HURRICANE DENNIS DISCUSSION NUMBER 26
    NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
    5 PM EDT SUN JUL 10 2005

    DENNIS MADE LANDFALL NEAR PENSACOLA AT 1925Z THIS AFTERNOON. THE LANDFALL INTENSITY IS ESTIMATED TO BE 100 TO 105 KT… BASED ON FLIGHT LEVEL WINDS OF 117 KT AT 1928Z… TWO STEPPED-FREQUENCY MICROWAVE RADIOMETER OBSERVATIONS OF 100 KT JUST NORTH OF THE CENTER JUST PRIOR TO LANDFALL. DROPSONDE OBSERVATIONS AT LANDFALL ALSO SUPPORT THIS VALUE.

    THE INITIAL MOTION IS 350/18. MODEL GUIDANCE REMAINS TIGHTLY CLUSTERED ON A NORTH-NORTHWESTWARD TRACK WITH A GRADUAL RECURVATURE AND SLOWDOWN OR STALL IN THE OHIO VALLEY AFTER 48 HOURS… AND THE OFFICIAL FORECAST IS SIMILAR TO THE PREVIOUS ADVISORY. THIS COULD RESULT IN A PROLONGED PERIOD OF HEAVY RAINFALL ALONG THE TRACK OF DENNIS… AND ITS REMNANTS.

    HURRICANE FORCE WINDS COULD EXTEND PERHAPS 100 TO 150 MILES INLAND OVER SOUTHWESTERN ALABAMA.

    FORECASTER FRANKLIN

    FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS

    INITIAL 10/2100Z 30.8N 87.2W 90 KT
    12HR VT 11/0600Z 32.7N 88.0W 60 KT…INLAND
    24HR VT 11/1800Z 35.2N 89.2W 30 KT…INLAND
    36HR VT 12/0600Z 37.0N 89.5W 25 KT…INLAND
    48HR VT 12/1800Z 37.8N 89.2W 25 KT…DISSIPATING
    72HR VT 13/1800Z 38.5N 88.0W 20 KT…REMNANT LOW
    96HR VT 14/1800Z 38.5N 87.0W 20 KT…REMNANT LOW
    120HR VT 15/1800Z 38.5N 87.0W 20 KT…REMNANT LOW

    $$

  • Official Advisory/Bulletin:

    000
    WTNT34 KNHC 110055
    TCPAT4
    BULLETIN
    TROPICAL STORM DENNIS INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER 26B
    NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
    8 PM CDT SUN JUL 10 2005

    …DENNIS WEAKENS TO A TROPICAL STORM OVER SOUTHWESTERN ALABAMA…
    …STILL A HEAVY RAINFALL AND TORNADO THREAT…

    A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FROM THE PEARL RIVER EASTWARD TO LONGBOAT KEY FLORIDA. THE TROPICAL STORM WARNING WILL LIKELY BE DISCONTINUED LATER TONIGHT.

    FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA… INCLUDING POSSIBLE INLAND WATCHES AND WARNINGS… PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.

    AT 8 PM CDT… 0100Z… THE POORLY-DEFINED CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM DENNIS WAS LOCATED INLAND NEAR LATITUDE 31.7 NORTH… LONGITUDE 87.6 WEST… OR ABOUT 20 MILES NORTHEAST OF JACKSON ALABAMA IN EASTERN CLARKE COUNTY.

    DENNIS IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHWEST NEAR 20 MPH. THIS GENERAL MOTION WITH SOME DECREASE IN FORWARD SPEED IS EXPECTED OVER THE NEXT 24 HOURS.

    MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 60 MPH… WITH HIGHER GUSTS. DENNIS IS EXPECTED TO RAPIDLY WEAKEN TO A TROPICAL DEPRESSION ON SUNDAY. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 150 MILES… MAINLY TO THE SOUTHEAST OF THE CENTER.

    THE MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED AT 972 MB… 28.70 INCHES. STORM SURGE FLOODING OF 8 TO 12 FEET ABOVE NORMAL TIDE LEVELS… ACCOMPANIED BY LARGE AND DANGEROUS BATTERING WAVES… IS STILL POSSIBLE ALONG THE FLORIDA PANHANDLE AND ALABAMA COASTS. STORM SURGE VALUES WILL GRADUALLY DECREASE LATER TONIGHT.

    DENNIS IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE TOTAL RAINFALL ACCUMULATIONS OF 4 TO 8 INCHES ALONG AND NEAR THE TRACK ACROSS THE SOUTHEASTERN STATES INTO THE LOWER OHIO VALLEY OVER THE NEXT FEW DAYS. ISOLATED MAXIMUM RAINFALL AMOUNTS NEAR 12 INCHES ARE POSSIBLE IN ASSOCIATION WITH DENNIS.

    ISOLATED TORNADOES ARE POSSIBLE TODAY OVER CENTRAL AND SOUTHERN ALABAMA… CENTRAL AND SOUTHERN GEORGIA… AND NORTH CENTRAL AND NORTHWESTERN FLORIDA.

    REPEATING THE 8 PM CDT POSITION… 31.7 N… 87.6 W. MOVEMENT TOWARD… NORTH-NORTHWEST NEAR 20 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS… 60 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE… 972 MB.

    THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT 10 PM CDT.

    FORECASTER STEWART

    $$

  • Official Advisory/Bulletin:

    000
    WTNT34 KNHC 110247
    TCPAT4
    BULLETIN
    TROPICAL STORM DENNIS ADVISORY NUMBER 27…CORRECTED
    NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
    10 PM CDT SUN JUL 10 2005

    CORRECTED INITIAL INTENSITY FROM 65 MPH TO 50 MPH

    …DENNIS CONTINUES TO WEAKEN OVER SOUTHWESTERN ALABAMA…
    STILL A HEAVY RAINFALL AND TORNADO THREAT

    AT 10 PM CDT… 0300Z… ALL COASTAL TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNINGS HAVE BEEN DISCONTINUED.

    FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA… INCLUDING POSSIBLE INLAND WATCHES AND WARNINGS… PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.

    AT 10 PM CDT… 0300Z… THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM DENNIS WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 32.3 NORTH… LONGITUDE 87.8 WEST… OR IN CENTRAL MARENGO COUNTY ABOUT 25 MILES SOUTHEAST OF DEMOPOLIS ALABAMA. DENNIS IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHWEST NEAR 16 MPH… AND THIS GENERAL MOTION WITH A GRADUAL DECREASE IN FORWARD SPEED IS EXPECTED OVER THE NEXT 24 HOURS.

    MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 50 MPH… WITH HIGHER GUSTS. DENNIS IS EXPECTED TO RAPIDLY WEAKEN TO A TROPICAL DEPRESSION ON MONDAY.

    TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 70 MILES FROM THE CENTER.

    THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 980 MB… 28.94 INCHES. STORM SURGE FLOODING ALONG THE FLORIDA PANHANDLE AND ALABAMA COASTS WILL GRADUALLY DECREASE TONIGHT AND MONDAY.

    TOTAL RAINFALL ACCUMULATIONS OF 4 TO 8 INCHES WILL BE POSSIBLE ALONG AND NEAR THE TRACK OF DENNIS ACROSS THE SOUTHEASTERN STATES INTO THE LOWER OHIO VALLEY OVER THE NEXT FEW DAYS. ISOLATED MAXIMUM RAINFALL AMOUNTS NEAR 12 INCHES ARE POSSIBLE IN ASSOCIATION WITH DENNIS.

  • I was afraid of this….Dennis is just sitting there pouring down rain…

    Official Advisory/Bulletin:

    000
    WTNT34 KWNH 121437
    TCPAT4

    PUBLIC ADVISORY NUMBER 33 FOR TROPICAL DEPRESSION DENNIS
    NWS…HYDROMETEOROLOGICAL PREDICTION CENTER…CAMP SPRINGS MD
    10 AM CDT TUE JUL 12 2005

    …TROPICAL DEPRESSION DENNIS IS SLOWLY MOVING THROUGH SOUTHERN ILLINOIS…

    FLOOD WARNINGS ARE CURRENTLY IN EFFECT FOR THE COOSAWATTEE RIVER… FLINT RIVER… OCONEE RIVER… CHATTAHOOCHEE RIVER AND THE KINCHAFOONEE CREEK OF GEORGIA.

    FLOOD AND FLASH FLOOD WATCHES ARE IN EFFECT FOR PORTIONS OF ILLINOIS… KENTUCKY… AND MISSOURI.

    AT 10 AM CDT… 15Z… TROPICAL DEPRESSION DENNIS WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 38.2 NORTH… AND LONGITUDE 88.5 WEST… OR 15 MILES EAST-SOUTHEAST OF MOUNT VERNON ILLINOIS.

    TROPICAL DEPRESSION DENNIS IS NOW MOVING NORTH-NORTHEAST AT 7 MPH.

    MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE 20 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 30 MPH. THE MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE WAS 1006 MB… OR 29.71 INCHES.

    TROPICAL DEPRESSION DENNIS IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE STORM TOTAL ACCUMULATIONS OF 6 TO 10 INCHES OVER THE LOWER OHIO VALLEY WITH ISOLATED 12 INCH AMOUNTS POSSIBLE OVER THE NEXT 3 DAYS ACROSS THE LOWER OHIO VALLEY.

    SELECTED STORM TOTAL RAINFALL AMOUNTS IN INCHES THROUGH 7 AM CDT TUESDAY UNLESS OTHERWISE NOTED…

    …MISSOURI…

    CAPE GIRARDEAU 3.22
    FISK 2.78
    NEW MADRID 2.69
    POPLAR BLUFF 2.68
    PORTAGEVILLE 2.63
    FARMINGTON 2.00

    …ILLINOIS…

    CHESTER 3.00
    LEBANON 2.91
    STEELVILLE 2.35
    BELLEVILLE 2.22
    CARBONDALE 1.93
    MOUNT VERNON 1.64

    …INDIANA…

    INDIANAPOLIS 0.66
    EVANSVILLE 0.60
    TERR HAUTE 0.57

    …ALABAMA…

    CAMDEN 6.27 THROUGH 7 AM CDT MONDAY
    WEST BLOCTON 5.28 THROUGH 7 AM CDT MONDAY
    SAMANTHA 4.34 THROUGH 7 AM CDT MONDAY
    THOMASVILLE 4.52 THROUGH 7 AM CDT MONDAY
    LIVINGSTON 4.21 THROUGH 7 AM CDT MONDAY
    MOBILE 3.71 THROUGH 7 AM CDT MONDAY
    TUSCALOOSA 3.72 THROUGH 1 PM CDT MONDAY

    …ARKANSAS…

    PARKIN 3.97 THROUGH 1 PM CDT MONDAY
    RIVERFRONT 3.24 THROUGH 1 PM CDT MONDAY
    BENTON 2.96 THROUGH 1 PM CDT MONDAY
    BLYTHEVILLE 2.38
    JONESBORO2.15

    …FLORIDA…

    BRISTOL 4S 8.30 THROUGH 7 AM CDT MONDAY
    TALLAHASSEE 6.64 THROUGH 7 AM CDT MONDAY
    KEY WEST 5.81 THROUGH 7 AM CDT MONDAY
    PERRY 5.83 THROUGH 7 AM CDT MONDAY
    PERRINE 5.29 THROUGH 7 AM CDT MONDAY

    …GEORGIA…

    AUSTELL 10.66 THROUGH 7 AM CDT MONDAY
    WEST ATLANTA 9.10 THROUGH 7 AM CDT MONDAY
    BUENA VISTA 8.18 THROUGH 7 AM CDT MONDAY
    PEACHTREE CITY 7.94 THROUGH 1 PM CDT MONDAY
    MOLENA 7.83 THROUGH 7 AM CDT MONDAY
    AMERICUS 7.84 THROUGH 7 AM CDT MONDAY
    POWDER SPRINGS 7.64 THROUGH 7 AM CDT MONDAY
    ATLANTA INTERNATIONAL AIRPORT 6.72 THROUGH 1 PM CDT MONDAY

    …KENTUCKY…

    PADUCAH 2.10
    FORT KNOX 1.55
    HENDERSON CITY 0.71

    …MISSISSIPPI…

    MERIDIAN 3.18 THROUGH 1 PM CDT MONDAY
    COLUMBUS 3.16 THROUGH 1 PM CDT MONDAY
    TUPELO 1.86 THROUGH 7 PM CDT MONDAY
    GULFPORT-BILOXI 0.48 THROUGH 1 PM CDT MONDAY

    …TENNESSEE…

    BLYTHEVILLE2.30 THROUGH 7 PM CDT MONDAY
    SELMER2.14 THROUGH 7 PM CDT MONDAY
    TUPELO 1.83 THROUGH 7 PM CDT MONDAY
    CHATTANOOGA 1.83 THROUGH 7 PM CDT MONDAY
    JACKSON 1.70 THROUGH 7 PM CDT MONDAY

    REPEATING THE 10 AM CDT POSITION… 38.2 NORTH… 88.5 WEST… MOVEMENT TO THE NORTH-NORTHEAST AT 7 MPH… MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 20 MPH WITH HIGHER GUSTS… MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1006 MB OR 29.71 INCHES.

    THE NEXT ADVISORY ON DENNIS WILL BE ISSUED AT 4 PM CDT BY THE HYDROMETEOROLOGICAL PREDICTION CENTER. PLEASE REFER TO YOUR LOCAL NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE FOR FURTHER INFORMATION ON THIS STORM.

    FRIES

    $$

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